Opinion poll tracker
Poll average — projected seats (out of 234) · 6 surveys compiled
DMK+ ~133
AIADMK+ ~78
TVK
Oth
← majority at 118
DMK alliance
AIADMK alliance
TVK (Vijay)
Others / NTK
Junior Vikatan Exclusive Survey
⚠️ Largest survey this cycle. Projects DMK short of majority — hung assembly possible. TVK's 24.71% vote share could be decisive in 27 close-contest seats.
DMK allianceSPA
12137.5%
AIADMK allianceNDA
8333.63%
TVKVijay · solo
324.71%
Undecided / close contests
27 seats
IPDS Indian Institute of Political Democratic Strategies
DMK alliance
~145Leading
AIADMK alliance
~52
TVKstrong 3rd force
~12
Lok Poll
DMK alliance
SPA
181–189
40.1%
AIADMK alliance
NDA
38–42
29.0%
TVK
Vijay · solo
8–10
23.9%
NTK
Seeman · solo
0
4.9%
Inside Elections
DMK alliance
159–165
44%
AIADMK alliance
64–70
33%
TVK
4–6
18%
Vote Vibe via News18
DMK alliance
113–12339.9%
AIADMK alliance
106–11637.5%
TVK
2–814.7%
Matrize
DMK alliance
102–115
AIADMK alliance
107–120
TVK
5–12
Most preferred Chief Minister
Source: Lok Poll · 117,000 sample
1
MS
M.K. Stalin
DMK · Incumbent Chief Minister
41.1%
2
VJ
Vijay
TVK · Actor & party founder
27.1%
3
EP
Edappadi K. Palaniswami
AIADMK · Opposition leader
24.1%
Zone-by-zone breakdown
Based on Lok Poll projections. Tamil Nadu divided into 4 electoral zones.
North Zone
Chennai · Kanchipuram · Chengalpattu · Tiruvallur · Vellore +5
DMK leads
53–56 seats
Delta Zone
Trichy · Thanjavur · Cuddalore · Nagapattinam · Mayiladuthurai +4
DMK leads
39–40 seats
South Zone
Madurai · Kanyakumari · Tirunelveli · Thoothukudi · Ramanathapuram +4
DMK leads
45–47 seats
Kongu Zone ⚡
Coimbatore · Salem · Erode · Namakkal · Tiruppur · Karur +4
DMK leads
44–46 seats
⚡ Biggest upset — AIADMK's traditional heartland now showing DMK surge. AIADMK projected to win only 9–10 seats here, down from 26 in 2021.
Latest news
01
Breaking · Today
Campaign ends — Tamil Nadu enters 48-hour silence period ahead of April 23 polling
→
02
Security
300 paramilitary companies, 83,000+ police deployed — Tamil Nadu locks down for polling day
→
03
Poll Roundup
All 8 pre-poll surveys compiled: DMK leads but no guaranteed landslide — up to 60 seats in play
→
04
Survey
Junior Vikatan (93,600 sample): DMK at 121 seats, hung assembly possible — TVK the wildcard at 24.71%
→
05
Reference
Full alliances, candidate lists, security arrangements and election schedule — live updated
→
Live result sources
Counting begins: May 4, 2026 · 8:00 AM IST
Results will stream in live from all 234 constituencies. Bookmark these official and trusted sources for real-time seat-by-seat updates.