Opinion poll tracker
Poll average — projected seats (out of 234)
DMK+ ~144
AIADMK+ ~65
TVK
Oth
← majority at 118
DMK alliance
AIADMK alliance
TVK (Vijay)
Others / NTK
Lok Poll
DMK alliance
SPA
181–189
40.1%
AIADMK alliance
NDA
38–42
29.0%
TVK
Vijay · solo
8–10
23.9%
NTK
Seeman · solo
0
4.9%
Inside Elections
DMK alliance
159–165
44%
AIADMK alliance
64–70
33%
TVK
4–6
18%
Vote Vibe via News18
DMK alliance
113–12339.9%
AIADMK alliance
106–11637.5%
TVK
2–814.7%
Matrize
DMK alliance
102–115
AIADMK alliance
107–120
TVK
5–12
Most preferred Chief Minister
Source: Lok Poll · 117,000 sample
1
MS
M.K. Stalin
DMK · Incumbent Chief Minister
41.1%
2
VJ
Vijay
TVK · Actor & party founder
27.1%
3
EP
Edappadi K. Palaniswami
AIADMK · Opposition leader
24.1%
Zone-by-zone breakdown
Based on Lok Poll projections. Tamil Nadu divided into 4 electoral zones.
North Zone
Chennai · Kanchipuram · Chengalpattu · Tiruvallur · Vellore +5
DMK leads
53–56 seats
Delta Zone
Trichy · Thanjavur · Cuddalore · Nagapattinam · Mayiladuthurai +4
DMK leads
39–40 seats
South Zone
Madurai · Kanyakumari · Tirunelveli · Thoothukudi · Ramanathapuram +4
DMK leads
45–47 seats
Kongu Zone ⚡
Coimbatore · Salem · Erode · Namakkal · Tiruppur · Karur +4
DMK leads
44–46 seats
⚡ Biggest upset — AIADMK's traditional heartland now showing DMK surge. AIADMK projected to win only 9–10 seats here, down from 26 in 2021.
Latest news
01
Opinion Poll
New Lok Poll predicts DMK landslide — a shock for AIADMK in Kongu heartland
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02
Race Watch
Matrize poll: Neck-and-neck contest — AIADMK alliance slightly edges DMK in latest survey
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03
Analysis
"The leader matters, not the candidate" — Vijay wave predicted across Coimbatore and Kongu
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04
Survey
Inside Elections: DMK set for second term with 159–165 seats, TVK emerging as 3rd force
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05
Overview
2026 State Elections in India: Tamil Nadu, Kerala, West Bengal explained in full
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Live result sources
Counting begins: May 4, 2026 · 8:00 AM IST
Results will stream in live from all 234 constituencies. Bookmark these official and trusted sources for real-time seat-by-seat updates.